Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

No99%
Yes1%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” for the winning team of the 2026 MLS Cup. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other teams. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official results posted from the event organizer. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. - The 2026 MLS Cup is cancelled or postponed outside of the Market Period. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

Sourcehttps://www.mlssoccer.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies resolution by January 1, 2027 and an “Other” outcome if no winner is declared by its deadline, while Myriad resolves after the tournament and has cancellation/refund treatment; these are resolution-rule differences, not a different underlying question.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    66 holders · 12 comments · read Sep 29, 12:33 AM UTC

  • Myriadthis market

    Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” for the winning team of the 2026 MLS Cup. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other teams. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official results posted from the event organizer. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. - The 2026 MLS Cup is cancelled or postponed outside of the Market Period. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

    read Sep 29, 08:20 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC