Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No80%

Yes20%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:53 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread40%

Resolves—

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun publish identical criteria using a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and exclude later replacement; Kalshi publishes only the core winning-and-accepting condition. Their settlement times differ, but this does not materially change the event being measured.

PolymarketOpen →
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
606 holders · 838 comments · read Sep 26, 07:16 PM UTC
KalshiOpen →
2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Will Lebron James be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
If LeBron James wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 07:41 PM UTC
PredictFunthis market
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 03:39 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC