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Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No—
Yes—

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves at a different stated time and uses a slightly different published outcome label; Polymarket and PredictFun specify consensus of official Democratic Party sources and replacement-before-election treatment, while Kalshi does not publish those criteria. PredictFun has no stated resolution time.
  • KalshiOpen →

    2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Will Jared Polis be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

    If Jared Polis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    432 holders · 839 comments · read Sep 28, 03:15 AM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 08:57 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:22 AM UTC