Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No81%

Yes19%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:09 PM UTC

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun specify consensus of official Democratic Party sources and explicitly address replacement before election day; Kalshi publishes only the affirmative condition. The venues also have different settlement times, but these are resolution differences rather than different questions.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
3.1K holders · 838 comments · read Sep 27, 07:44 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 08:09 PM UTC
PredictFunthis market
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 06:35 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC