PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Marcus McGhee58%

Bernardo Sopaj42%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:54 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.2K

7d volume$1.8K

30d volume$1.8K

Liquidity$2.8K

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in postponement, cancellation, tie/no-contest, and settlement rules, including Kalshi's possible fair-price resolution for a cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks; these are resolution mechanics rather than the underlying question.

Polymarketthis market
UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
KalshiOpen →
332: McGhee vs Sopaj: Marcus McGhee wins
If Marcus McGhee wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
read Sep 29, 08:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	64% Over	—	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	70% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	76% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	67% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC