332: McGhee vs Sopaj: Marcus McGhee wins

Marcus McGhee57%
No43%

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24h volume$2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 20Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Marcus McGhee wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in postponement, cancellation, tie/no-contest, and settlement rules, including Kalshi's possible fair-price resolution for a cancellation or rescheduling beyond two weeks; these are resolution mechanics rather than the underlying question.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Marcus McGhee" if Marcus McGhee is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Bernardo Sopaj" if Bernardo Sopaj is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Kalshithis market

    332: McGhee vs Sopaj: Marcus McGhee wins

    If Marcus McGhee wins the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the McGhee vs Sopaj professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 08:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
332: McGhee vs Sopaj: Bernardo Sopaj winsKalshi56% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC