PolymarketOpen

Will the fight be won by submission?

No74%

Yes26%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:44 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$28.4

Spread94%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Marcus McGhee and Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	65% Over	—	—	—	Open
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	58% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	70% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Bernardo Sopaj win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marcus McGhee win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	76% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	67% No	—	—	—	Open
UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Polymarket	58% Marcus McGhee	$1.2K	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC