PolymarketOpen

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No90%

Yes11%

Price checked at Oct 3, 09:22 PM UTC

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24h volume$91K

7d volume$109.8K

30d volume$145.3K

Liquidity$116K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Polymarket	81% No	$15.9K	—	—	Open
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Polymarket	85% No	$15K	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders29

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments4

Best bid 92% · best ask 93%

Top holders

1nvoker171255105703787673598544314841982769706089703686090138346979609625968723562861
StarMaster45648337578451496625172692878154540673290090514958904679626475370758737260957
MirAsifAhr45648337578451496625172692878154540673290090514958904679626475370758737260957
rainbowlilies71255105703787673598544314841982769706089703686090138346979609625968723562861
PaddyAlpha45648337578451496625172692878154540673290090514958904679626475370758737260957

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL92%$14 days ago
BUY93%$1.4K4 days ago
BUY8%$166 days ago
SELL92%$1847 days ago
SELL92%$1847 days ago
SELL92%$1849 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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4 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Moist-Salmon · 14 days ago
no need
jozeslemsek · 15 days ago
OpenAI needs a Brahmin CEO from Bharat, like Google, Microsoft, etc.
wantbehappy · 15 days ago
that's right but you have option to end of 2027
Poivre · 15 days ago
A market that resolves in 2030... How useless this market is.

As of Oct 3, 09:25 PM UTC