PolymarketOpen

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

No81%

Yes20%

Price checked at Oct 3, 09:22 PM UTC

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24h volume$15.9K

7d volume$17.1K

30d volume$34.1K

Liquidity$109.9K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	90% No	$91K	—	—	Open
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Polymarket	85% No	$15K	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders12

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments4

Best bid 80% · best ask 81%

Top holders

lissartter11154024394290395779200280042592689509188573203255072461318238006609074561235
rainbowlilies33879742656148409548571643785226058620417880364356814596689289166701639965131
1nvoker133879742656148409548571643785226058620417880364356814596689289166701639965131
doil33879742656148409548571643785226058620417880364356814596689289166701639965131
0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c9233879742656148409548571643785226058620417880364356814596689289166701639965131

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL19%$14 days ago
SELL19%$384 days ago
SELL19%$387 days ago
SELL19%$387 days ago
SELL80%$47 days ago
SELL80%$710 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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4 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Moist-Salmon · 14 days ago
no need
jozeslemsek · 15 days ago
OpenAI needs a Brahmin CEO from Bharat, like Google, Microsoft, etc.
wantbehappy · 15 days ago
that's right but you have option to end of 2027
Poivre · 15 days ago
A market that resolves in 2030... How useless this market is.

As of Oct 3, 09:25 PM UTC