Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?

Yes100%
No0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 22, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 19Sep 21Sep 22Sep 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles from the September 22 Netflix chart and closes the prior day; Polymarket specifies the expected 3:00 PM ET update, an alphabetical tie-break, and an "Other" outcome if the update is delayed beyond September 25. These are resolution-rule differences for the same fact.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

    If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Sep 22, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

    read Sep 22, 06:51 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    4 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 20, 02:07 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders4
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 90% · best ask 94%

Top holders

  • 0x79131bf443de7456970acb5d4a8a2dc98254e64653347619955456884204885970512815479712910500569405168371194076410066525943296
  • marksman37463176099562252896282831943709773232112405360357204829368899879559434218066
  • johnashbough37463176099562252896282831943709773232112405360357204829368899879559434218066
  • hithitfar53347619955456884204885970512815479712910500569405168371194076410066525943296

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL47%$411 days ago
  • BUY53%$6.111 days ago
  • BUY25%$2.111 days ago
  • BUY26%$1.711 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 07:16 PM UTC