Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesSep 22, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi closes the day before the Tuesday chart publication, while Polymarket lists a later nominal resolution time and includes a fallback if the update is delayed. Polymarket specifies an alphabetical tie-breaker; these are resolution-rule differences that do not change the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

    If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 6 million views on the chart published on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Sep 22, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

    read Sep 22, 06:49 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 6 million views this week?

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    3 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 20, 02:04 PM UTC

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Best bid 98% · best ask 99%

Top holders

  • anonymoususer1062307868736361884648201163509725942853615435088932754164353280874051803424656
  • richyee67069314248731667255596823565916016551165646589095486239301225171017733264495
  • John.I.Tzimiskes67069314248731667255596823565916016551165646589095486239301225171017733264495

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As of Sep 30, 02:05 PM UTC