Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Sep 22, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Kalshithis market
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?
If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Sep 22, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
read Sep 22, 06:51 AM UTC
- PolymarketOpen →
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week?
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 22, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
4 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 20, 02:07 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 15 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 25 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views? | Kalshi | 93% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 21 million views? | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views? | Kalshi | 99% At least 9 million | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 50 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views? | Kalshi | 99% At least 6 million | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 30 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 35 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 40 million views? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 10:50 AM UTC