Anthropic IPO by __: October 31, 2026

No96%
Yes5%

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24h volume—
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ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket specify resolution on July 1, 2027, while PredictFun publishes no resolution date; this is a settlement-time difference that does not change the underlying question. Their published substantive resolution criteria otherwise match, including the source-of-truth hierarchy and acquisition rule.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Anthropic IPO by __: October 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 05:35 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    546 holders · 51 comments · read Sep 28, 06:50 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 29, 04:41 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Anthropic IPO by __: December 31, 2026Limitless82% YesOpen
Anthropic IPO by __: September 30, 2026Limitless100% NoOpen
Anthropic IPO by __: November 30, 2026Limitless64% YesOpen
Anthropic IPO by __: October 15, 2026Limitless99% NoOpen
Anthropic IPO by __: November 15, 2026Limitless74% NoOpen
Anthropic IPO by __: December 15, 2026Limitless76% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders0
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 3% · best ask 5%

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As of Sep 29, 09:29 PM UTC