LimitlessOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Anthropic IPO by __: September 30, 2026

No100%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:45 AM UTC

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7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Limitless list a resolution date of July 1, 2027, while PredictFun lists none; this is a settlement-timing difference only. All published substantive resolution criteria are otherwise materially identical.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
483 holders · 50 comments · read Sep 26, 06:16 PM UTC
Limitlessthis market
Anthropic IPO by __: September 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 holders · read Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
read Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Anthropic IPO by __: December 31, 2026	Limitless	82% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Anthropic IPO by __: October 31, 2026	Limitless	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Anthropic IPO by __: November 30, 2026	Limitless	64% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Anthropic IPO by __: October 15, 2026	Limitless	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Anthropic IPO by __: November 15, 2026	Limitless	75% No	—	—	—	Open
Anthropic IPO by __: December 15, 2026	Limitless	76% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

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Best bid — · best ask 1%

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC