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Will an F1 Grand Prix race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026?: Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix main race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026? Yes

No65%
Yes35%

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24h volume$321
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesDec 7, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix main race happens in Abu Dhabi after issuance and before Dec 7, 2026 at 12:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves No if the 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race is cancelled, does not commence before the specified deadline, or takes place outside Abu Dhabi. A postponement beyond the deadline resolves No regardless of whether the race is later held in Abu Dhabi. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Sep 30, 05:44 AM UTC