Will Zhao Bei return to China before Jia Yueting ?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible, publicly reported news confirms that Zhao Bei physically entered mainland China at any time before Jia Yueting is confirmed by the same type of reporting to have entered mainland China, between the market open and the resolution time. If Jia Yueting returns first, the market resolves 'No.' If both return on the same calendar day (China Standard Time), the one confirmed to have landed first chronologically will be deemed to have returned first. Only clear, direct confirmation (e.g., reputable news report or official statement cited on the specified source) will count; rumors or speculation are insufficient. In case of conflicting reports or ambiguity, the information available on the preferred source at resolution time prevails.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 hours agoBest bid 53% · best ask 95%
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Nov 1, 12:09 PM UTC