OpinionOpen

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?

No76%

Yes5%

Price checked at Nov 1, 03:20 PM UTC

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24h volume$1

7d volume$1

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the Republic of China (Taiwan), Lai Ching-te, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Lai Ching-te will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Taiwan within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 hour ago

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Comments0

Best bid 2% · best ask 22%

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As of Nov 1, 03:57 PM UTC