OpinionOpen

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026 — ↓ 55,000

No58%
Yes10%

Price checked at

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24h volume$36.2
7d volume$36.2
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 13Sep 17Sep 21Sep 25Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered. Time window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints. Meaning of “hit”: For any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No. For any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid — · best ask 90%

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As of Sep 29, 11:43 PM UTC