KalshiOpen

New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Chris Bishop become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?

No98%
Chris Bishop2%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 7, 2027next year

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 10Sep 15Sep 20Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Chris Bishop becomes Prime Minister of New Zealand as a result of government formation following the 2026 New Zealand general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Nov 7, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Nov 7, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Christopher Luxon become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi56% Christopher LuxonOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Simeon Brown become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Winston Peters become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Mark Mitchell become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Qiulae Wong become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Marama Davidson become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Nicola Willis become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Rawiri Waititi become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Erica Stanford become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Chlöe Swarbrick become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will David Seymour become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Debbie Ngarewa-Packer become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?: Will Chris Hipkins become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Kalshi64% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC