How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.10%
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026 ).
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How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026 ).
0 holders · read Sep 29, 06:43 PM UTC
- PolymarketOpen →
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
29 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 27, 11:25 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.00% | Limitless | 98% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.20% | Limitless | 96% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.25% | Limitless | 97% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.30% | Limitless | 95% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.40% | Limitless | 90% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.35% | Limitless | 90% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.45% | Limitless | 87% No | Open |
| How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027: Below 4.50% | Limitless | 82% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 hours agoBest bid 2% · best ask 4%
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As of Sep 29, 09:55 PM UTC