Will Essa Faal win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Sourcehttps://www.iec.gm/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mama Kandeh win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Mohamed Al Amin Bah win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Bakary K. Badjie win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Ousainou Darboe win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 75% Yes | Open |
| Will Talib Ahmed Bensouda win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC