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New Taipei mayoral election winner?: Will Lee Shu-chuan win the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election?

Lee Shu-chuan88%
No12%

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24h volume$210.1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesDec 18, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 14Sep 20Sep 26Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lee Shu-chuan wins the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New Taipei mayoral election winner?: Will Su Chiao-hui win the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election?Kalshi66% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 10:39 AM UTC