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Where will Waymo operate in 2026?: Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2027?

No77%
Charlotte, NC23%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread9%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 3Sep 10Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Charlotte, NC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Charlotte, NC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Charlotte, NC may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Charlotte, NC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Charlotte, NC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Charlotte, NC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Charlotte, NC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Charlotte, NC Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Charlotte, NC All Waymo vehicles in Charlotte, NC have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027

Other legs of this event

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As of Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC