2028 Republican VP nominee: Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

No100%
Elon Musk1%

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ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 22Sep 4Sep 17Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Elon Musk accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves using the first formally nominated and accepting nominee and official GOP-source consensus, and retains the result despite later replacement; Kalshi’s published criterion only requires Musk to accept the nomination. Their settlement times also differ, but the underlying question is the same.
  • Kalshithis market

    2028 Republican VP nominee: Will Elon Musk be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?

    If Elon Musk accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Elon Musk be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

    This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    21 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 06:29 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 09:05 PM UTC