2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

No96%
Mark Kelly4%

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24h volume$6.5K
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Spread0%
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Mark Kelly wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun and Polymarket publish materially identical criteria, including official Democratic sources and replacement handling. Kalshi states the winning-and-accepting condition but does not publish those additional criteria; its earlier settlement time is a resolution-detail difference, not a different question.
  • Kalshithis market

    2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

    If Mark Kelly wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    948 holders · 838 comments · read Sep 26, 06:53 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 08:49 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC