2028 Republican presidential nominee: Will Mike Pence be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

No100%
Mike Pence0%

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ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Mike Pence wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. They resolve at different times and use different settlement wording: Kalshi provides no published source here, while Polymarket uses a consensus of official Republican Party sources and specifies that a pre-election replacement does not change resolution.
  • Kalshithis market

    2028 Republican presidential nominee: Will Mike Pence be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

    If Mike Pence wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    832 holders · 441 comments · read Sep 26, 03:54 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC