FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Will the Gukesh Dommaraju win the World Chess Championship?

No70%
Gukesh Dommaraju30%

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24h volume$55.5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement deadlines and cancellation/postponement rules, and Polymarket specifies FIDE/credible reporting as sources; these are resolution-method differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner: Will the Gukesh Dommaraju win the World Chess Championship?

    If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 10:31 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

    This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    74 holders · 14 comments · read Sep 29, 05:11 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 11:50 PM UTC