KalshiOpen

Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? Exactly 4 cuts

No100%

Exactly 4 cuts0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:57 PM UTC

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24h volume$500

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread0%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? Exactly 0 cuts	Kalshi	95% Exactly 0 cuts	$10.7K	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? Exactly 1 cut	Kalshi	96% No	$9.3K	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? Exactly 3 cuts	Kalshi	99% No	$2K	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 6 times? Exactly 6 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$500	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? Exactly 2 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$320.1	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 7 times? Exactly 7 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 9 times? Exactly 9 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 8 times? Exactly 8 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 5 times? Exactly 5 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 19 times? Exactly 19 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 20 times? Exactly 20 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 18 times? Exactly 18 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 17 times? Exactly 17 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 13 times? Exactly 13 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 16 times? Exactly 16 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 14 times? Exactly 14 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 15 times? Exactly 15 cuts	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 12 times? Exactly 12 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 11 times? Exactly 11 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
Number of rate cuts in 2026?: Will the Fed cut rates 10 times? Exactly 10 cuts	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC