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KalshiOpen

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

Above 4.00%68%
No32%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread39%
ResolvesApr 28, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Apr 28, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Apr 28, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi91% Above 1.25%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi92% Above 4.25%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi95% Above 3.50%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi96% Above 3.25%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi96% Above 3.75%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi96% Above 3.00%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi98% Above 2.50%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi98% Above 2.75%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi98% Above 2.00%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi98% Above 1.75%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi99% Above 2.25%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi92% Above 1.50%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi97% Above 1.00%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi97% Above 0.75%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi92% Above 0.50%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi99% Above 0.25%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi99% Above 0.00%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi83% Above 5.50%Open
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?: Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi73% Above 4.50%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC