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Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?: Will there be more than 16 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026? Above 16
No97%
Above 163%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread2%
ResolvesDec 2, 2026in 2 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC