KalshiOpen

Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026? Above 8000

No84%

Above 800016%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:57 PM UTC

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24h volume$872.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 8000, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026? Above 4000	Kalshi	97% Above 4000	$698.2	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026? Above 6000	Kalshi	52% Above 6000	$303	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 3000 measles cases in 2026? Above 3000	Kalshi	99% Above 3000	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2026? Above 10000	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC