KalshiOpen

How low will the S&P get this year?: Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027? 6,300 or below

No85%

6,300 or below15%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:45 PM UTC

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24h volume$198.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How low will the S&P get this year?: Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027? 6,000 or below	Kalshi	91% No	$35.1	—	—	Open
How low will the S&P get this year?: Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027? 5,900 or below	Kalshi	92% No	$30.3	—	—	Open
How low will the S&P get this year?: Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027? 6,100 or below	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
How low will the S&P get this year?: Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027? 6,200 or below	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:56 PM UTC