KalshiOpen

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? Before 2027

No94%

Before 20276%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$4

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 hour ago

Holders—

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Trades (24h)—

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Open interest—

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As of Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC