KalshiOpen

Will the S&P finish positive this year?: Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Positive Growth

Positive Growth87%

No13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:46 PM UTC

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24h volume$7.1K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC