KalshiOpen

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?

No98%

Ukraine2%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?	Kalshi	83% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?	Kalshi	65% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?	Kalshi	85% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?: Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC