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Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?: Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?

No76%

Before Jan 1, 202724%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC

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24h volume$104.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement. Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement. A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient. If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.

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As of Sep 29, 10:56 PM UTC