Will Jared Polis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

No99%
Jared Polis1%

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24h volume$160.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jared Polis accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves if Polis accepts the nomination, while Polymarket uses the first formally nominated, accepting individual and specifies official Democratic sources; Polymarket also says a replacement before election day does not change resolution. Their listed settlement times differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Jared Polis be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

    If Jared Polis accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Oct 1, 03:45 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

    This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    22 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 05:58 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi97% NoOpen
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Will Rahm Emanuel be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
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Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi100% NoOpen
Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi100% NoOpen
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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will Phil Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi100% NoOpen
Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi96% NoOpen
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Jamie Dimon be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Stephen A. Smith be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 2, 12:39 AM UTC