KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Connie Chan

No74%

Connie Chan26%

Price checked at Oct 2, 01:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$50

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Connie Chan wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. They differ in stated resolution time and source details: Kalshi allows accelerated determination based on a media consensus, while Polymarket uses credible reporting and, if ambiguous, official FEC results. These are settlement-method differences for the same underlying election outcome.

Kalshithis market
CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Connie Chan
If Connie Chan wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Oct 1, 10:16 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
35 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 02:15 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Scott Wiener	Kalshi	72% Scott Wiener	$293.5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 15 hours ago

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As of Oct 2, 01:42 PM UTC