KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Scott Wiener

Scott Wiener71%

No29%

Price checked at Oct 1, 10:59 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$68.3

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Scott Wiener wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may accelerate resolution after a media consensus and lists a November 3 election-date resolution time; Polymarket resolves based on credible reporting, with official FEC results as fallback, and lists November 4. These are resolution-procedure differences, not material differences in the event being measured.

Kalshithis market
CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Scott Wiener
If Scott Wiener wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 30, 11:12 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
27 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 06:56 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
CA-11 House winner? : Who will win the CA-11 House election? Connie Chan	Kalshi	74% No	$151	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 12 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 11:26 AM UTC