KalshiOpen

Will the United Kingdom join the EU by Jan 1, 2040?

No55%

By Jan 1, 204045%

Price checked at Nov 1, 03:03 PM UTC

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24h volume$148

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread70%

ResolvesJan 1, 2040in 13 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the United Kingdom join the EU by Jan 1, 2035?	Kalshi	54% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will the United Kingdom join the EU by Jan 1, 2032?	Kalshi	61% No	$644	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

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As of Nov 1, 03:40 PM UTC