KalshiOpen

How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 5.5%

No97%

Above 5.5%3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:01 PM UTC

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24h volume$6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread19%

ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5.5%, the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 7%	Kalshi	97% No	$351	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 8%	Kalshi	97% No	$178.2	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 12%	Kalshi	96% No	$168.6	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 5%	Kalshi	93% No	$97.3	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 9%	Kalshi	96% No	$36	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 4.5%	Kalshi	79% No	$10.6	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 6%	Kalshi	96% No	$1	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 4.8%	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 6.5%	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 17%	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 20%	Kalshi	100% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 15%	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will unemployment get in 2026?: How high will unemployment get before 2027? Above 10%	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:21 PM UTC