KalshiOpen

Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Devendra Fadnavis become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?

No98%
Devendra Fadnavis2%

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24h volume$0
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30d volume—
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Spread2%
ResolvesApr 30, 2030in 4 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Devendra Fadnavis becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will N. Chandrababu Naidu become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Yogi Adityanath become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Narendra Modi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi50% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Nitin Gadkari become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Priyanka Gandhi Vadra become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Amit Shah become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?: Will Akhilesh Yadav become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Kalshi98% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC