KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Brenda Grisham

No88%

Brenda Grisham12%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Brenda Grisham wins the 2026 Oakland mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after the election using credible-reporting consensus, with Oakland official information as a fallback; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus projection. Their scheduled resolution times also differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Brenda Grisham win the Oakland Mayor election?
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
7 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 06:47 PM UTC
Kalshithis market
Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Brenda Grisham
If Brenda Grisham wins the 2026 Oakland mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:27 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Barbara Lee	Kalshi	94% Barbara Lee	$0	—	—	Open

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Read from the venue 54 minutes ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:20 PM UTC