PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Brenda Grisham win the Oakland Mayor election?

No89%

Yes11%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:47 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$10.2K

Spread5%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after the election using credible-reporting consensus, with Oakland official information as a fallback; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus projection. Their scheduled resolution times also differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.

Polymarketthis market
Will Brenda Grisham win the Oakland Mayor election?
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
7 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 06:47 PM UTC
KalshiOpen →
Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Brenda Grisham
If Brenda Grisham wins the 2026 Oakland mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:27 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland Mayor election?	Polymarket	90% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders7

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

InterestingUser93445941753448519769980161342424306051863371491511250704931896352593495080377
0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296693445941753448519769980161342424306051863371491511250704931896352593495080377
shiifoo76504565763875574032714940920507225478254161457085433090644341332836463087800
pppnn76504565763875574032714940920507225478254161457085433090644341332836463087800
AJSV76504565763875574032714940920507225478254161457085433090644341332836463087800

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As of Sep 29, 08:28 PM UTC