Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Barbara Lee

Barbara Lee94%
No6%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Barbara Lee wins the 2026 Oakland mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus, while Polymarket uses credible reporting and official City of Oakland information if results are ambiguous. They also list different settlement times.
  • Kalshithis market

    Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Barbara Lee

    If Barbara Lee wins the 2026 Oakland mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 07:49 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland Mayor election?

    The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.

    18 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 12:40 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oakland Mayor winner?: Who will win the 2026 Oakland mayoral election? Brenda GrishamKalshi88% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC