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Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours? Yes

Yes90%
No10%

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24h volume$187.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 27Sep 5Sep 13Sep 21Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the Guinness World Records title “Highest grossing videogame in 24 hours.” The relevant period is the videogame’s first 24 hours following its initial official release. Grand Theft Auto V currently holds this record. Grand Theft Auto V, developed by Rockstar Games, sold 11.21 million copies and grossed $815.7 million worldwide within 24 hours of its release on September 17, 2013. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC