PolymarketOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?

No83%
Yes18%

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24h volume$967
7d volume$2.1K
30d volume$5.9K
Liquidity$15K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 7, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in settlement timing and tie handling: Polymarket assigns a tied result alphabetically, while Kalshi splits settlement among tied parties. Their source hierarchy and polling cutoff are materially aligned.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?

    The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    28 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 31, 10:57 AM UTC

  • Will Republicans win Latino men in the exit poll? Republican party

    If the Republican Party wins Latino men in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, a party “wins” Latino men if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes. CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

    read Nov 1, 03:42 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Polymarket79% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders28
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 14% · best ask 36%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296613947869183521257903124637784269303827344476568156089559984719693210155465511
  • rustin123108505893541229757069529271162435910763710292940264300984594091374924486760953
  • sweetj108505893541229757069529271162435910763710292940264300984594091374924486760953
  • liuisnice108505893541229757069529271162435910763710292940264300984594091374924486760953
  • TheOne77713947869183521257903124637784269303827344476568156089559984719693210155465511

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As of Nov 1, 07:19 PM UTC