Will Eric Lombardi win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Dylan Marando win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | Polymarket | 56% No | Open |
| Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? | Polymarket | 63% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 09:39 AM UTC