Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Polymarket | 71% Yes | Open |
| Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC