Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 16% · best ask 18%
Top holders
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly72820619922053432516748905329266890906103969024802768151634670763988243600546
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296672820619922053432516748905329266890906103969024802768151634670763988243600546
- u790171621185653281721927174401118354054745399424014255544529977515442951477963801
- moshinfu71621185653281721927174401118354054745399424014255544529977515442951477963801
- JEFFREYLUVEMILY71621185653281721927174401118354054745399424014255544529977515442951477963801
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY18%$408 days ago
- BUY18%$208 days ago
- SELL83%$2838 days ago
- BUY17%$18 days ago
- SELL84%$129.48 days ago
- SELL16%$9.78 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Crypto.LEO · 8 days ago
同樣義務教育你怎麼就比人家聰明
- royluo328 · 8 days ago
我是沈伯洋我就來這裡歐印蔣萬安，看能不能把選舉保證金尻回來。
- Tingo2026 · 8 days ago
沈伯洋理财
As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC